See where prediction markets and bookmakers disagree.
Polymarket and Kalshi next to 20+ bookmakers for every big European football match — margins removed, so the numbers actually compare.
vs
Wolves
Polymarket
Kalshi
vs
SassuoloPolymarketKalshi
vs
MiddlesbroughPolymarketKalshi- upcoming matches priced
- 86
- upcoming matches priced
- competitions covered
- 8
- competitions covered
- bookmakers compared
- 20+
- bookmakers compared
- prices, history since March 2026
- Hourly
- prices, history since March 2026
Biggest disagreements this week
Upcoming games where the prediction markets and the bookmakers price a result furthest apart.
AEK Athens vs Real Madrid
PSG vs Troyes
Blackburn Rovers vs West Ham
Valencia vs Real Madrid
Elche vs Real Betis
Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona
How it works
Markets price every result
Polymarket and Kalshi prices read as probabilities: 38¢ means a 38% chance. We track both, every hour.
Bookmakers, margin removed
20+ bookmakers, with their built-in margin stripped out — so fair bookmaker odds and market prices finally compare.
Scored on closing prices
After the whistle we judge each side on its last price before kick-off, not on numbers that moved during the game.
The full method is on how we calculate.
Who calls it better?
Every game we track this season, scored on closing prices: how often did the favourite actually win?
Favourite = the result each side priced highest before kick-off. 2026/27 season, all covered competitions.