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AC Milan

AC Milan vs Atalanta

Atalanta

Sunday, October 18, 2026

AC Milan
59%
Draw
23%
Atalanta
18%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

AC MilanAC Milan
3 — 2
AtalantaAtalanta
AC Milan wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: AC Milan.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: AC Milan59%✓ Won
KalshiFavourite: AC Milan59%✓ Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: AC Milan57%✓ Won
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket1.694.285.74
Kalshi1.704.255.67
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)1.744.275.24

AC Milan win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan
Matchday 7
Daniele Chiffi
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
AC Milan
Atalanta
Oct 18, 26
AC Milan
3-2
Atalanta
May 10, 26
AC Milan
2-3
Atalanta
Oct 28, 25
Atalanta
1-1
AC Milan
Apr 20, 25
AC Milan
0-1
Atalanta
Dec 6, 24
Atalanta
2-1
AC Milan
Feb 25, 24
AC Milan
1-1
Atalanta
Jan 10, 24
AC Milan
1-2
Atalanta
Dec 9, 23
Atalanta
3-2
AC Milan
Lineups
AC Milan3-4-3
Coach: Ruben Amorim
16M. MaignanG
34Mario GilaD
5K. De WinterD
31S. PavlovićD
21S. ChukwuezeM
80Y. MusahM
14L. ModrićM
22Diego MoreiraM
12A. RabiotF
9Gonçalo RamosF
11C. PulišićF
Atalanta4-3-3
Coach: M. Sarri
29M. CarnesecchiG
16R. BellanovaD
31T. KristensenD
23S. KolašinacD
47L. BernasconiD
10L. SamardžićM
13ÉdersonM
8Mario PasalicM
17C. De KetelaereF
90N. KrstovićF
11J. RoweF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won AC Milan vs Atalanta?

AC Milan won 3–2.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

AC Milan was the favourite at 59% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: AC Milan 59%, draw 23%, Atalanta 18%).