AC Milan
2 — 4
BolognaBologna wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Bologna.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: AC Milan | AC Milan | 17% | ✗ Upset |
 KalshiFavourite: AC Milan | AC Milan | 18% | ✗ Upset |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: AC Milan | AC Milan | 19% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1AC Milan | XDraw | 2Bologna |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.75 | 3.94 | 5.74 |
| Kalshi | 1.76 | 3.92 | 5.67 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.81 | 3.86 | 5.34 |
Sportsbook Odds23 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1AC Milan | XDraw | 2Bologna |
|---|---|---|---|
 Betfair | 1.77 | 3.85 | 5.50 |
 1xBet | 1.77 | 3.81 | 5.33 |
 Matchbook | 1.77 | 3.85 | 5.50 |
 Pinnacle | 1.75 | 3.69 | 5.26 |
 William Hill | 1.70 | 3.50 | 4.80 |
 Marathon | 1.74 | 3.75 | 5.25 |
 BetOnline | 1.75 | 3.73 | 5.15 |
 888sport | 1.70 | 3.50 | 4.80 |
 BetAnySports | 1.75 | 3.73 | 5.15 |
 Betclic | 1.65 | 3.60 | 4.80 |
 Betsson | 1.72 | 3.65 | 5.15 |
 Codere | 1.72 | 3.65 | 5.20 |
 Coolbet | 1.75 | 3.70 | 5.30 |
 GTbets | 1.69 | 3.64 | 5.00 |
 LeoVegas | 1.67 | 3.55 | 4.80 |
 NordicBet | 1.72 | 3.55 | 5.05 |
PMU | 1.65 | 3.45 | 4.70 |
 Tipico | 1.67 | 3.70 | 5.20 |
 Unibet (FR) | 1.62 | 3.50 | 4.90 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.71 | 3.70 | 5.10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.73 | 3.80 | 5.25 |
 Winamax (DE) | 1.68 | 3.70 | 4.70 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.64 | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| Fair odds (average of 23, margin removed) | 1.81 | 3.86 | 5.34 |
AC Milan win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
AC MilanBologna
Feb 3, 26
Bologna
0-3
AC MilanSep 14, 25
AC Milan
1-0
BolognaMay 14, 25
AC Milan
0-1
BolognaMay 9, 25
AC Milan
3-1
BolognaFeb 27, 25
Bologna
2-1
AC MilanJan 27, 24
AC Milan
2-2
BolognaAug 21, 23
Bologna
0-2
AC MilanApr 15, 23
Bologna
1-1
AC MilanLineups
AC Milan4-2-3-1
Coach: Ruben Amorim
16M. MaignanG
23F. TomoriD
5K. De WinterD
31S. PavlovićD
2P. EstupiñánD
80Y. MusahM
30A. JashariM
20O. HutchinsonM
70A. CissèM
33D. BartesaghiM
9Gonçalo RamosF
Bologna3-4-3
Coach: Raffaele Palladino
1Ł. SkorupskiG
36M. DarmianD
16N. CasaleD
3A. TheateD
20N. ZorteaM
19L. FergusonM
4T. PobegaM
23R. AlhassaneM
10F. BernardeschiF
21J. OdgaardF
11S. MbangulaF
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won AC Milan vs Bologna?
Bologna won 4–2.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
AC Milan was the favourite at 57% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: AC Milan 57%, draw 25%, Bologna 18%).
