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Saturday, October 31, 2026

AC Milan
26%
Draw
27%
Inter Milan
47%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

AC MilanAC Milan
3 — 1
Inter MilanInter Milan
AC Milan wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: AC Milan.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Inter Milan26%✗ Upset
KalshiFavourite: Inter Milan25%✗ Upset
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Inter Milan27%✗ Upset
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket3.793.792.12
Kalshi3.963.682.10
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)3.753.722.15
Sportsbook Odds23 books
= best
Bookmaker1X2
Betfair
3.753.702.14
Matchbook
3.753.702.14
Unibet (SE)
3.753.652.08
Pinnacle
3.663.592.11
William Hill
3.403.402.00
Fair odds (average of 23, margin removed)3.753.722.15

AC Milan win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan
Marco Guida
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
AC Milan
Inter Milan
Aug 5, 26
AC Milan
1-1
Inter
Mar 8, 26
AC Milan
1-0
Inter
Nov 23, 25
Inter
0-1
AC Milan
Apr 23, 25
Inter
0-3
AC Milan
Apr 2, 25
AC Milan
1-1
Inter
Feb 2, 25
AC Milan
1-1
Inter
Jan 6, 25
Inter
2-3
AC Milan
Sep 22, 24
Inter
1-2
AC Milan
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won AC Milan vs Inter Milan?

AC Milan won 3–1.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Inter Milan was the favourite at 47% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: AC Milan 26%, draw 27%, Inter Milan 47%).