AC Milan
26%
Draw
27%
Inter Milan
47%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
AC Milan
3 — 1
AC Milan wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: AC Milan.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan | 26% | ✗ Upset | |
| Inter Milan | 25% | ✗ Upset | |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Inter Milan | Inter Milan | 27% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1AC Milan | XDraw | 2Inter Milan |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.79 | 3.79 | 2.12 | |
| 3.96 | 3.68 | 2.10 | |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 3.75 | 3.72 | 2.15 |
Sportsbook Odds23 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1AC Milan | XDraw | 2Inter Milan |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.75 | 3.70 | 2.14 | |
| 3.75 | 3.70 | 2.14 | |
| 3.75 | 3.65 | 2.08 | |
| 3.66 | 3.59 | 2.11 | |
| 3.40 | 3.40 | 2.00 | |
| 3.64 | 3.62 | 2.08 | |
| 3.62 | 3.65 | 2.06 | |
| 3.40 | 3.40 | 2.00 | |
| 3.69 | 3.67 | 2.11 | |
| 3.62 | 3.65 | 2.06 | |
| 3.50 | 3.43 | 1.95 | |
| 3.55 | 3.45 | 2.08 | |
| 3.55 | 3.50 | 2.06 | |
| 3.60 | 3.60 | 2.11 | |
| 3.54 | 3.66 | 2.05 | |
| 3.50 | 3.40 | 1.97 | |
| 3.55 | 3.40 | 2.05 | |
PMU | 3.40 | 3.30 | 1.94 |
| 3.40 | 3.60 | 2.05 | |
| 3.40 | 3.40 | 1.93 | |
| 3.65 | 3.50 | 2.04 | |
| 3.45 | 3.50 | 2.00 | |
| 3.35 | 3.40 | 1.94 | |
| Fair odds (average of 23, margin removed) | 3.75 | 3.72 | 2.15 |
AC Milan win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Inter Milan
Aug 5, 26
AC Milan
1-1
InterMar 8, 26
AC Milan
1-0
InterNov 23, 25
Inter
0-1
AC MilanApr 23, 25
Inter
0-3
AC MilanApr 2, 25
AC Milan
1-1
InterFeb 2, 25
AC Milan
1-1
InterJan 6, 25
Inter
2-3
AC MilanSep 22, 24
Inter
1-2
AC MilanFrequently Asked Questions
Who won AC Milan vs Inter Milan?
AC Milan won 3–1.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Inter Milan was the favourite at 47% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: AC Milan 26%, draw 27%, Inter Milan 47%).