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uclAwaiting Result

Wednesday, November 4, 2026

AEK Athens
6%
Draw
12%
Real Madrid
82%

Prediction-market prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Prediction markets vs bookmakers= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket15.318.651.22
Kalshi16.678.331.22
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)12.217.741.27

Goals: Kalshi vs bookmakers

Over/under 2.5 goals and both teams to score. Fair = bookmaker consensus with the margin removed.

MarketKalshiBest bookmakerFair
Over 2.5 goals1.321.29Betsson1.36
Under 2.5 goals4.173.66Betsson3.79
Both teams to score1.721.73Matchbook1.74
Not both to score2.382.30Matchbook2.35
Kalshi volume traded: totals $10,023 · BTTS $2,070
Sportsbook Odds22 books
= best
Bookmaker1X2
Betfair
15.508.201.22
1xBet
11.407.421.26
Matchbook
15.508.201.22
Pinnacle
11.867.641.21
William Hill
10.006.501.22
Fair odds (average of 22, margin removed)12.217.741.27

AEK Athens win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus.

Allwyn Arena, Nea Filadelfeia
Maurizio Mariani
League Position
29
AEK Athens
AEK Athens
LLWWD
P
3
GD
-5
Pts
3
4
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
WWW
P
3
GD
+5
Pts
9
Season Stats
AEK Athens
vs
Real Madrid
7
Goals Scored
10
8
Goals Conceded
5
1.4
Avg Goals/Game
3.3
3
Clean Sheets
0
1
Failed to Score
0
2W-0D-0L
Home Record
2W-0D-0L
0W-1D-2L
Away Record
1W-0D-0L
4-4-2
Formation
4-2-3-1
Injuries & Suspensions
AEK Athens
No injuries reported
Real Madrid
R. Asencio
Muscle Injury
E. Camavinga
Red Card
Eder Militao
Hamstring Injury
A. Guler
Red Card
F. Mendy
Hip Injury
Key Players
AEK Athens
L. Majer
Midfielder · 5 apps
1
Goals
1
Assists
R. Marin
Midfielder · 5 apps
2
Goals
0
Assists
B. Varga
Attacker · 5 apps
2
Goals
0
Assists
S. Pilios
Defender · 5 apps
1
Goals
1
Assists
L. Jović
Attacker · 5 apps
1
Goals
0
Assists
Real Madrid
Kylian Mbappé
Attacker · 3 apps
3
Goals
1
Assists
F. Valverde
Midfielder · 3 apps
1
Goals
0
Assists
T. Courtois
Goalkeeper · 3 apps
0
Goals
0
Assists
Vinícius Júnior
Midfielder · 3 apps
0
Goals
0
Assists
Marc Cucurella
Defender · 3 apps
0
Goals
0
Assists
Frequently Asked Questions

Who is the favourite for AEK Athens vs Real Madrid?

Real Madrid is the favourite at 82% according to Polymarket and Kalshi: AEK Athens 6%, draw 12%, Real Madrid 82%.

What is AEK Athens's current form?

AEK Athens's last 5 results: Loss, Loss, Win, Win, Draw.

Are there any injuries for AEK Athens vs Real Madrid?

AEK Athens has 0 players injured or doubtful. Real Madrid has 7 players injured or doubtful.

Where can I bet on AEK Athens vs Real Madrid?

On prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi — availability depends on your country) or with bookmakers such as Pinnacle, Betfair and 20+ others. This page compares their prices side by side.

Where is AEK Athens vs Real Madrid being played?

At Allwyn Arena, Nea Filadelfeia.

Best Available OddsHighest payout per €1
AEK Athens
Betfair
15.50
6% implied
Draw
Betfair
8.20
12% implied
Real Madrid
1xBet
1.26
79% implied
Best bookmaker price per outcome. Higher odds = bigger payout if it hits.