AEK Athens
6%
Draw
12%
Real Madrid
82%
Prediction-market prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Prediction markets vs bookmakers= cheaper price
| Platform | 1AEK Athens | XDraw | 2Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.31 | 8.65 | 1.22 | |
| 16.67 | 8.33 | 1.22 | |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 12.21 | 7.74 | 1.27 |
Goals: Kalshi vs bookmakers
Over/under 2.5 goals and both teams to score. Fair = bookmaker consensus with the margin removed.
| Market | Kalshi | Best bookmaker | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.29Betsson | 1.36 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 4.17 | 3.66Betsson | 3.79 |
| Both teams to score | 1.72 | 1.73Matchbook | 1.74 |
| Not both to score | 2.38 | 2.30Matchbook | 2.35 |
Kalshi volume traded: totals $10,023 · BTTS $2,070
Sportsbook Odds22 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1AEK Athens | XDraw | 2Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.50 | 8.20 | 1.22 | |
| 11.40 | 7.42 | 1.26 | |
| 15.50 | 8.20 | 1.22 | |
| 11.86 | 7.64 | 1.21 | |
| 10.00 | 6.50 | 1.22 | |
| 11.25 | 7.30 | 1.24 | |
| 11.50 | 7.53 | 1.23 | |
| 10.00 | 6.50 | 1.22 | |
| 11.52 | 7.50 | 1.21 | |
| 9.75 | 6.50 | 1.16 | |
| 13.50 | 7.50 | 1.19 | |
| 11.00 | 7.20 | 1.21 | |
| 13.50 | 7.75 | 1.22 | |
| 10.77 | 6.84 | 1.23 | |
| 12.50 | 7.50 | 1.18 | |
| 14.00 | 7.60 | 1.19 | |
PMU | 11.00 | 6.75 | 1.15 |
| 10.00 | 7.50 | 1.15 | |
| 14.00 | 8.00 | 1.20 | |
| 14.00 | 8.00 | 1.21 | |
| 9.50 | 7.50 | 1.19 | |
| 8.50 | 6.75 | 1.17 | |
| Fair odds (average of 22, margin removed) | 12.21 | 7.74 | 1.27 |
AEK Athens win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus.
League Position
29
AEK Athens
LLWWD
P
3
GD
-5
Pts
3
4
Real Madrid
WWW
P
3
GD
+5
Pts
9
Season Stats
Real Madrid
7
Goals Scored
10
8
Goals Conceded
5
1.4
Avg Goals/Game
3.3
3
Clean Sheets
0
1
Failed to Score
0
2W-0D-0L
Home Record
2W-0D-0L
0W-1D-2L
Away Record
1W-0D-0L
4-4-2
Formation
4-2-3-1
Injuries & Suspensions
No injuries reported
R. Asencio
E. Camavinga
Eder Militao
A. Guler
F. Mendy
Key Players
L. Majer
Midfielder · 5 apps
1
Goals
1
Assists
R. Marin
Midfielder · 5 apps
2
Goals
0
Assists
B. Varga
Attacker · 5 apps
2
Goals
0
Assists
S. Pilios
Defender · 5 apps
1
Goals
1
Assists
L. Jović
Attacker · 5 apps
1
Goals
0
Assists
Kylian Mbappé
Attacker · 3 apps
3
Goals
1
Assists
F. Valverde
Midfielder · 3 apps
1
Goals
0
Assists
T. Courtois
Goalkeeper · 3 apps
0
Goals
0
Assists
Vinícius Júnior
Midfielder · 3 apps
0
Goals
0
Assists
Marc Cucurella
Defender · 3 apps
0
Goals
0
Assists
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favourite for AEK Athens vs Real Madrid?
Real Madrid is the favourite at 82% according to Polymarket and Kalshi: AEK Athens 6%, draw 12%, Real Madrid 82%.
What is AEK Athens's current form?
AEK Athens's last 5 results: Loss, Loss, Win, Win, Draw.
Are there any injuries for AEK Athens vs Real Madrid?
AEK Athens has 0 players injured or doubtful. Real Madrid has 7 players injured or doubtful.
Where can I bet on AEK Athens vs Real Madrid?
On prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi — availability depends on your country) or with bookmakers such as Pinnacle, Betfair and 20+ others. This page compares their prices side by side.
Where is AEK Athens vs Real Madrid being played?
At Allwyn Arena, Nea Filadelfeia.
Best Available OddsHighest payout per €1
AEK Athens
Betfair
15.50
6% implied
Draw
Betfair
8.20
12% implied
Real Madrid
1xBet
1.26
79% implied
Best bookmaker price per outcome. Higher odds = bigger payout if it hits.