Ararat-Armenia
15%
Draw
21%
AZ Alkmaar
64%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Ararat-Armenia
0 — 4
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: AZ Alkmaar.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiFavourite: AZ Alkmaar | AZ Alkmaar | 64% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: AZ Alkmaar | AZ Alkmaar | 63% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds
| Platform | 1Ararat-Armenia | XDraw | 2AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 6.73 | 4.81 | 1.55 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 6.18 | 4.73 | 1.60 |
Ararat-Armenia win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar?
AZ Alkmaar won 4–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
AZ Alkmaar was the favourite at 64% on Kalshi (closing prices: Ararat-Armenia 15%, draw 21%, AZ Alkmaar 64%).
