Arsenal
57%
Draw
24%
Chelsea
20%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Arsenal
2 — 1
ChelseaArsenal wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Arsenal.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiFavourite: Arsenal | Arsenal | 57% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Arsenal | Arsenal | 56% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds
| Platform | 1Arsenal | XDraw | 2Chelsea |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.76 | 4.25 | 5.10 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.80 | 4.08 | 5.00 |
Sportsbook Odds12 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Arsenal | XDraw | 2Chelsea |
|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.72 | 4.04 | 5.38 |
 Codere | 1.65 | 3.85 | 5.40 |
 Betfair | 1.32 | 1.19 | 1.10 |
 William Hill | 1.67 | 3.75 | 5.00 |
 Marathon | 1.69 | 3.98 | 5.30 |
 MyBookie | 1.62 | 3.70 | 5.20 |
 888sport | 1.67 | 3.70 | 4.80 |
 Betclic | 1.58 | 3.68 | 5.10 |
 Tipico | 1.62 | 3.90 | 5.30 |
 Unibet (FR) | 1.55 | 3.50 | 4.90 |
 Winamax (DE) | 1.60 | 3.85 | 5.00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52 | 3.50 | 4.50 |
| Fair odds (average of 12, margin removed) | 1.82 | 3.94 | 5.05 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Arsenal vs Chelsea?
Arsenal won 2–1.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Arsenal was the favourite at 57% on Kalshi (closing prices: Arsenal 57%, draw 24%, Chelsea 20%).
