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Saturday, October 24, 2026

Arsenal
71%
Draw
19%
Everton
10%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

ArsenalArsenal
2 — 0
EvertonEverton
Arsenal wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Arsenal.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Arsenal71%✓ Won
KalshiFavourite: Arsenal71%✓ Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Arsenal66%✓ Won
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket1.415.439.57
Kalshi1.415.2610.00
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)1.514.787.78
Sportsbook Odds25 books
= best
Bookmaker1X2
Betfair
1.474.908.40
1xBet
1.484.727.70
Matchbook
1.484.808.00
Pinnacle
1.454.578.01
William Hill
1.444.337.00
Fair odds (average of 25, margin removed)1.514.787.77

Arsenal win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Emirates Stadium, London
Tony Harrington
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Arsenal
Everton
Oct 24, 26
Arsenal
2-0
Everton
Mar 14, 26
Arsenal
2-0
Everton
Dec 20, 25
Everton
0-1
Arsenal
Apr 5, 25
Everton
1-1
Arsenal
Dec 14, 24
Arsenal
0-0
Everton
May 19, 24
Arsenal
2-1
Everton
Sep 17, 23
Everton
0-1
Arsenal
Mar 1, 23
Arsenal
4-0
Everton
Lineups
Arsenal4-2-3-1
Coach: Mikel Arteta
1David RayaG
4B. WhiteD
15E. KonsaD
6Gabriel MagalhãesD
49M. Lewis-SkellyD
41D. RiceM
23Mikel MerinoM
20N. MaduekeM
8M. ØdegaardM
10E. EzeM
14V. GyökeresF
Everton4-2-3-1
Coach: D. Moyes
1J. PickfordG
34M. RöhlD
6J. TarkowskiD
15J. O'BrienD
16V. MykolenkoD
45H. ArmstrongM
37J. GarnerM
22B. JohnsonM
8K. Dewsbury-HallM
19Tyrique GeorgeM
11T. BarryF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Arsenal vs Everton?

Arsenal won 2–0.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Arsenal was the favourite at 71% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Arsenal 71%, draw 19%, Everton 10%).