Aston Villa
15%
Draw
22%
Arsenal
64%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Aston Villa
0 — 1
ArsenalArsenal wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Arsenal.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiFavourite: Arsenal | Arsenal | 64% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Arsenal | Arsenal | 63% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds
| Platform | 1Aston Villa | XDraw | 2Arsenal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 6.80 | 4.64 | 1.57 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 6.79 | 4.50 | 1.59 |
Sportsbook Odds4 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Aston Villa | XDraw | 2Arsenal |
|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 4.75 | 4.01 | 1.80 |
 Betfair | 3.50 | 3.60 | 1.71 |
 Betsson | 4.50 | 3.80 | 1.75 |
 NordicBet | 4.50 | 3.80 | 1.75 |
| Fair odds (average of 4, margin removed) | 4.56 | 4.06 | 1.87 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Aston Villa vs Arsenal?
Arsenal won 1–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Arsenal was the favourite at 64% on Kalshi (closing prices: Aston Villa 15%, draw 22%, Arsenal 64%).
