Aston Villa
35%
Draw
27%
Brentford
38%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Aston Villa
2 — 2
BrentfordDraw
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Draw.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Brentford | Brentford | 26% | ✗ Upset |
 KalshiFavourite: Brentford | Brentford | 27% | ✗ Upset |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Brentford | Brentford | 27% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Aston Villa | XDraw | 2Brentford |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2.75 | 3.79 | 2.68 |
| Kalshi | 2.89 | 3.74 | 2.59 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 2.84 | 3.72 | 2.63 |
Aston Villa win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Aston Villa vs Brentford?
Aston Villa vs Brentford ended in a 2–2 draw.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Brentford was the favourite at 38% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Aston Villa 35%, draw 27%, Brentford 38%).
