Aston Villa
59%
Draw
23%
Fenerbahce
19%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Aston Villa
6 — 0
FenerbahceAston Villa wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Aston Villa.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Aston Villa | Aston Villa | 59% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: Aston Villa | Aston Villa | 58% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Aston Villa | Aston Villa | 58% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Aston Villa | XDraw | 2Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.71 | 4.32 | 5.49 |
| Kalshi | 1.71 | 4.39 | 5.32 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.74 | 4.31 | 5.22 |
Sportsbook Odds21 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Aston Villa | XDraw | 2Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|---|
 Betfair | 1.69 | 4.30 | 5.50 |
 Coolbet | 1.70 | 4.20 | 5.15 |
 Pinnacle | 1.62 | 4.25 | 5.38 |
 William Hill | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.75 |
 Marathon | 1.69 | 4.15 | 5.05 |
 BetOnline | 1.65 | 4.20 | 5.30 |
 888sport | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.75 |
 1xBet | 1.68 | 4.21 | 5.49 |
 BetAnySports | 1.66 | 4.22 | 4.95 |
 Betclic | 1.62 | 4.10 | 4.80 |
 Betsson | 1.68 | 4.05 | 4.80 |
 Codere | 1.66 | 4.10 | 4.80 |
 GTbets | 1.67 | 3.99 | 5.06 |
 LeoVegas | 1.63 | 4.00 | 4.90 |
 NordicBet | 1.65 | 4.20 | 4.95 |
PMU | 1.60 | 3.85 | 4.70 |
 Unibet (FR) | 1.56 | 4.00 | 4.70 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.67 | 4.25 | 5.25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.68 | 4.25 | 5.25 |
 Winamax (DE) | 1.64 | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.62 | 4.10 | 4.50 |
| Fair odds (average of 21, margin removed) | 1.74 | 4.31 | 5.22 |
Aston Villa win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 1 meetings
Aston VillaFenerbahce
Jan 22, 26
Fenerbahçe
0-1
Aston VillaFrequently Asked Questions
Who won Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce?
Aston Villa won 6–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Aston Villa was the favourite at 59% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Aston Villa 59%, draw 23%, Fenerbahce 19%).
