Aston Villa
42%
Draw
28%
Nottingham Forest
29%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Aston Villa
1 — 2
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Nottingham Forest.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiFavourite: Aston Villa | Aston Villa | 29% | ✗ Upset |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Aston Villa | Aston Villa | 30% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds
| Platform | 1Aston Villa | XDraw | 2Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.37 | 3.52 | 3.40 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 2.37 | 3.57 | 3.35 |
Sportsbook Odds12 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Aston Villa | XDraw | 2Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|---|
 Pinnacle | 1.95 | 3.68 | 3.74 |
 1xBet | 1.95 | 3.84 | 4.12 |
 Betfair | 1.93 | 3.50 | 4.00 |
 William Hill | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.90 |
 Marathon | 1.92 | 3.78 | 4.05 |
 MyBookie | 1.81 | 3.55 | 4.10 |
 888sport | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.80 |
 Betclic | 1.76 | 3.48 | 4.05 |
 Tipico | 1.83 | 3.70 | 4.10 |
 Unibet (FR) | 1.72 | 3.40 | 3.90 |
 Winamax (DE) | 1.78 | 3.65 | 4.00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70 | 3.35 | 3.70 |
| Fair odds (average of 12, margin removed) | 1.98 | 3.86 | 4.26 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?
Nottingham Forest won 2–1.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Aston Villa was the favourite at 42% on Kalshi (closing prices: Aston Villa 42%, draw 28%, Nottingham Forest 29%).
