Aston Villa
78%
Draw
13%
Viking
10%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Aston Villa
3 — 1
VikingAston Villa wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Aston Villa.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Aston Villa | Aston Villa | 78% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: Aston Villa | Aston Villa | 77% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Aston Villa | Aston Villa | 76% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Aston Villa | XDraw | 2Viking |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.28 | 8.04 | 10.58 |
| Kalshi | 1.29 | 7.77 | 10.10 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.31 | 7.19 | 10.33 |
Sportsbook Odds22 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Aston Villa | XDraw | 2Viking |
|---|---|---|---|
 Betfair | 1.27 | 7.60 | 11.50 |
 1xBet | 1.31 | 6.75 | 9.70 |
 Matchbook | 1.27 | 7.60 | 11.00 |
 NordicBet | 1.22 | 7.20 | 12.00 |
 Pinnacle | 1.25 | 6.84 | 10.10 |
 William Hill | 1.25 | 6.00 | 8.50 |
 Marathon | 1.28 | 6.45 | 9.30 |
 BetOnline | 1.26 | 6.97 | 10.00 |
 888sport | 1.25 | 6.00 | 8.50 |
 BetAnySports | 1.26 | 6.70 | 10.15 |
 Betclic | 1.23 | 6.50 | 9.50 |
 Betsson | 1.21 | 7.10 | 11.50 |
 Codere | 1.24 | 7.00 | 9.80 |
 Coolbet | 1.27 | 7.05 | 11.00 |
 GTbets | 1.27 | 6.40 | 9.46 |
 LeoVegas | 1.22 | 7.00 | 10.00 |
PMU | 1.20 | 6.50 | 9.00 |
 Unibet (FR) | 1.19 | 6.40 | 8.80 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.24 | 7.50 | 11.00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.25 | 7.50 | 11.00 |
 Winamax (DE) | 1.22 | 7.00 | 8.50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.21 | 6.75 | 8.00 |
| Fair odds (average of 22, margin removed) | 1.31 | 7.19 | 10.34 |
Aston Villa win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Aston Villa vs Viking?
Aston Villa won 3–1.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Aston Villa was the favourite at 78% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Aston Villa 78%, draw 13%, Viking 10%).
