Atalanta
4 — 4
Draw
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Draw.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 24% | ✗ Upset | |
| Atalanta | 24% | ✗ Upset | |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Atalanta | Atalanta | 23% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Atalanta | XDraw | 2Frosinone |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.09 | 4.23 | 3.49 | |
| 2.08 | 4.25 | 3.52 | |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.96 | 4.32 | 3.87 |
Sportsbook Odds23 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Atalanta | XDraw | 2Frosinone |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.94 | 4.30 | 3.90 | |
| 1.94 | 4.30 | 3.90 | |
| 1.85 | 4.20 | 3.90 | |
| 1.90 | 4.15 | 3.82 | |
| 1.85 | 3.90 | 3.50 | |
| 1.86 | 4.15 | 3.74 | |
| 1.90 | 4.13 | 3.75 | |
| 1.85 | 3.90 | 3.50 | |
| 1.92 | 4.28 | 3.85 | |
| 1.90 | 4.13 | 3.75 | |
| 1.81 | 4.05 | 3.43 | |
| 1.88 | 4.00 | 3.65 | |
| 1.88 | 4.20 | 3.55 | |
| 1.90 | 4.10 | 3.85 | |
| 1.79 | 4.24 | 3.75 | |
| 1.79 | 3.90 | 3.65 | |
| 1.88 | 4.00 | 3.65 | |
PMU | 1.77 | 3.80 | 3.55 |
| 1.83 | 4.10 | 3.70 | |
| 1.78 | 4.10 | 3.40 | |
| 1.83 | 4.10 | 3.80 | |
| 1.82 | 4.10 | 3.45 | |
| 1.78 | 4.00 | 3.35 | |
| Fair odds (average of 23, margin removed) | 1.96 | 4.32 | 3.87 |
Atalanta win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 7 meetings
Frosinone
Oct 25, 26
Atalanta
4-4
FrosinoneJan 15, 24
Atalanta
5-0
FrosinoneAug 26, 23
Frosinone
2-1
AtalantaJan 20, 19
Frosinone
0-5
AtalantaAug 20, 18
Atalanta
4-0
FrosinoneJan 23, 16
Frosinone
0-0
AtalantaAug 30, 15
Atalanta
2-0
FrosinoneLineups
Atalanta4-2-3-1
Coach: M. Sarri
29M. CarnesecchiG
16R. BellanovaD
31T. KristensenD
40R. ObriÄD
77D. ZappacostaD
13ÉdersonM
70G. GaetanoM
99E. ElmasM
17C. De KetelaereM
11J. RoweM
90N. KrstovićF
Frosinone4-2-3-1
Coach: M. Alvini
22L. PalmisaniG
20A. OyonoD
2G. CittadiniD
3G. CalvaniD
79G. BracagliaD
14G. CalòM
73P. MasiniM
7F. GhedjemisM
10R. SchmidM
17G. KvernadzeM
9A. RaimondoF
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Atalanta vs Frosinone?
Atalanta vs Frosinone ended in a 4–4 draw.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Atalanta was the favourite at 48% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Atalanta 48%, draw 24%, Frosinone 29%).