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Monday, November 2, 2026

Atalanta
69%
Draw
19%
Parma
13%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

AtalantaAtalanta
0 — 3
ParmaParma
Parma wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Parma.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Atalanta13%✗ Upset
KalshiFavourite: Atalanta13%✗ Upset
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Atalanta15%✗ Upset
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket1.455.387.96
Kalshi1.465.377.84
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)1.545.076.54
Sportsbook Odds24 books
= best
Bookmaker1X2
Betfair
1.515.206.60
Matchbook
1.515.206.60
Unibet (SE)
1.494.906.75
Pinnacle
1.484.976.40
William Hill
1.444.505.80
Fair odds (average of 24, margin removed)1.545.076.54

Atalanta win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

New Balance Arena, Bergamo
Valerio Crezzini
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Atalanta
Parma
Jan 25, 26
Atalanta
4-0
Parma
Aug 30, 25
Parma
1-1
Atalanta
May 25, 25
Atalanta
2-3
Parma
Nov 23, 24
Parma
1-3
Atalanta
Aug 4, 24
Parma
4-1
Atalanta
May 9, 21
Parma
2-5
Atalanta
Jan 6, 21
Atalanta
3-0
Parma
Jul 28, 20
Parma
1-2
Atalanta
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Atalanta vs Parma?

Parma won 3–0.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Atalanta was the favourite at 69% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Atalanta 69%, draw 19%, Parma 13%).