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Monday, October 12, 2026

Atalanta
64%
Draw
21%
Venezia
15%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

AtalantaAtalanta
3 — 1
VeneziaVenezia
Atalanta wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Atalanta.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Atalanta65%✓ Won
KalshiFavourite: Atalanta64%✓ Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Atalanta63%✓ Won
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket1.544.856.86
Kalshi1.574.646.80
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)1.604.746.15

Atalanta win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

New Balance Arena, Bergamo
Paride Tremolada
Head to HeadLast 6 meetings
Atalanta
Venezia
Oct 12, 26
Atalanta
3-1
Venezia
Mar 1, 25
Atalanta
0-0
Venezia
Oct 20, 24
Venezia
0-2
Atalanta
Apr 23, 22
Venezia
1-3
Atalanta
Jan 12, 22
Atalanta
2-0
Venezia
Nov 30, 21
Atalanta
4-0
Venezia
Lineups
Atalanta4-2-3-1
Coach: M. Sarri
29M. CarnesecchiG
16R. BellanovaD
31T. KristensenD
42G. ScalviniD
77D. ZappacostaD
19F. KessiéM
13ÉdersonM
99E. ElmasM
17C. De KetelaereM
11J. RoweM
90N. KrstovićF
Venezia3-5-2
Coach: G. Stroppa
1F. StankovićG
25R. HalhalD
15Juan JesusD
2M. MorenoD
18A. HainautM
71Kike PérezM
19S. SohmM
26T. BašićM
14Thierry CorreiaM
10J. YeboahF
45A. AdamsF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Atalanta vs Venezia?

Atalanta won 3–1.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Atalanta was the favourite at 64% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Atalanta 64%, draw 21%, Venezia 15%).