Atletico Madrid
26%
Draw
21%
Barcelona
53%
Prediction-market prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Prediction markets vs bookmakers= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Atletico Madrid | XDraw | 2Barcelona |
|---|---|---|---|
 Polymarket | 3.94 | 4.67 | 1.88 |
 Kalshi | 3.88 | 4.81 | 1.87 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 3.87 | 4.47 | 1.93 |
Goals: Kalshi vs bookmakers
Over/under 2.5 goals and both teams to score. Fair = bookmaker consensus with the margin removed.
| Market | Kalshi | Best bookmaker | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.36 | 1.32Betsson | 1.39 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.77 | 3.42Betsson | 3.56 |
Kalshi volume traded: totals $6,375
Sportsbook Odds19 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Atletico Madrid | XDraw | 2Barcelona |
|---|---|---|---|
 Betfair | 3.85 | 4.60 | 1.86 |
 1xBet | 3.81 | 4.41 | 1.90 |
 Coolbet | 3.70 | 4.20 | 1.90 |
 Matchbook | 3.85 | 4.60 | 1.87 |
 Unibet (NL) | 3.85 | 4.30 | 1.87 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.85 | 4.30 | 1.88 |
 Pinnacle | 3.74 | 4.45 | 1.85 |
 William Hill | 3.50 | 4.00 | 1.83 |
 Marathon | 3.72 | 4.30 | 1.85 |
 BetOnline | 3.75 | 4.48 | 1.83 |
 Betclic | 3.45 | 3.98 | 1.73 |
 Betsson | 3.70 | 4.15 | 1.82 |
 Codere | 3.70 | 4.10 | 1.86 |
 LeoVegas | 3.55 | 3.95 | 1.80 |
 NordicBet | 3.70 | 4.15 | 1.82 |
PMU | 3.50 | 3.85 | 1.78 |
 Tipico | 3.80 | 4.30 | 1.77 |
 Winamax (DE) | 3.45 | 4.30 | 1.80 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.35 | 4.10 | 1.76 |
| Fair odds (average of 19, margin removed) | 3.87 | 4.47 | 1.93 |
Atletico Madrid win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus.
Metropolitano Stadium, Madrid
League Position
2
Atletico Madrid
WWWWW
P
11
GD
+14
Pts
28
1
Barcelona
WLWWW
P
11
GD
+34
Pts
30
Season Stats
Atletico MadridBarcelona
22
Goals Scored
46
8
Goals Conceded
12
2.0
Avg Goals/Game
4.2
6
Clean Sheets
4
1
Failed to Score
0
4W-1D-0L
Home Record
5W-0D-1L
5W-0D-1L
Away Record
5W-0D-0L
4-4-2
Formation
4-3-3
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Atletico MadridBarcelona
Apr 14, 26
Atletico Madrid
1-2
BarcelonaApr 8, 26
Barcelona
0-2
Atletico MadridApr 4, 26
Atletico Madrid
1-2
BarcelonaMar 3, 26
Barcelona
3-0
Atletico MadridFeb 12, 26
Atletico Madrid
4-0
BarcelonaDec 2, 25
Barcelona
3-1
Atletico MadridApr 2, 25
Atletico Madrid
0-1
BarcelonaMar 16, 25
Atletico Madrid
2-4
BarcelonaInjuries & Suspensions
Atletico Madrid
J. Alvarez
T. Lemar
C. Romero
A. Sorloth
O. Vargas
Barcelona
A. Balde
R. Bardghji
J. Bisiwu
M. Casado
H. Fort
Key Players
Atletico Madrid
Álex Baena
Midfielder · 11 apps
5
Goals
3
Assists
Álex Grimaldo
Defender · 10 apps
4
Goals
2
Assists
J. David
Attacker · 6 apps
3
Goals
2
Assists
Lee Kang-In
Midfielder · 11 apps
2
Goals
1
Assists
J. Álvarez
Attacker · 7 apps
1
Goals
1
Assists
Barcelona
Raphinha
Attacker · 10 apps
15
Goals
3
Assists
Lamine Yamal
Attacker · 11 apps
10
Goals
7
Assists
Fermín
Midfielder · 10 apps
5
Goals
5
Assists
A. Gordon
Attacker · 10 apps
2
Goals
4
Assists
Gabriel Jesus
Attacker · 7 apps
3
Goals
1
Assists
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favourite for Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona?
Barcelona is the favourite at 53% according to Polymarket and Kalshi: Atletico Madrid 26%, draw 21%, Barcelona 53%.
What is Atletico Madrid's current form?
Atletico Madrid's last 5 results: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win.
Are there any injuries for Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona?
Atletico Madrid has 10 players injured or doubtful. Barcelona has 10 players injured or doubtful.
Where can I bet on Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona?
On prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi — availability depends on your country) or with bookmakers such as Pinnacle, Betfair and 20+ others. This page compares their prices side by side.
Where is Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona being played?
At Metropolitano Stadium, Madrid.
Best Available OddsHighest payout per €1
Atletico Madrid
Unibet (NL)
3.85
26% implied
Draw
Betfair
4.60
22% implied
Barcelona
1xBet
1.90
53% implied
Best bookmaker price per outcome. Higher odds = bigger payout if it hits.
