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Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich

Tuesday, November 3, 2026

Atletico Madrid

29%

Draw

25%

Bayern Munich

46%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Atletico Madrid

0 — 2

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Bayern Munich.

Source	Favourite	Result %Chance given to the result	Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Bayern Munich	Bayern Munich	47%	✓ Favourite won Won
KalshiFavourite: Bayern Munich	Bayern Munich	46%	✓ Favourite won Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Bayern Munich	Bayern Munich	43%	✓ Favourite won Won

Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price

Platform	1Atletico Madrid	XDraw	2Bayern Munich
Polymarket	3.53	4.10	2.12
Kalshi	3.37	4.04	2.20
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)	3.11	4.00	2.33

Sportsbook Odds22 books

= best

Bookmaker	1Atletico Madrid	XDraw	2Bayern Munich
Betfair	3.20	4.00	2.26
1xBet	3.06	3.91	2.31
Matchbook	3.20	4.00	2.26
Pinnacle	3.13	3.95	2.21
William Hill	2.90	3.60	2.15
Marathon	3.02	3.85	2.27
BetOnline	2.99	3.86	2.26
888sport	2.90	3.60	2.20
BetAnySports	2.99	3.86	2.26
Betclic	2.75	3.80	2.15
Betsson	3.05	3.80	2.18
Codere	3.00	3.70	2.24
Coolbet	2.97	3.95	2.30
GTbets	2.90	3.79	2.26
LeoVegas	2.90	3.70	2.20
NordicBet	3.10	3.85	2.20
PMU	2.75	3.55	2.12
Unibet (FR)	2.70	3.40	2.05
Unibet (NL)	3.00	3.95	2.28
Unibet (SE)	3.00	3.95	2.28
Winamax (DE)	2.85	3.85	2.15
Winamax (FR)	2.75	3.75	2.10
Fair odds (average of 22, margin removed)	3.11	4.00	2.33