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bundesligaFull Time

Saturday, October 31, 2026

Augsburg
34%
Draw
26%
Freiburg
40%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

AugsburgAugsburg
1 — 2
FreiburgFreiburg
Freiburg wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Freiburg.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Freiburg40%✓ Won
KalshiFavourite: Freiburg41%✓ Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Freiburg41%✓ Won
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket2.913.942.48
Kalshi2.973.882.46
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)2.993.912.44
Sportsbook Odds22 books
= best
Bookmaker1X2
Betfair
2.963.852.46
1xBet
2.903.962.40
Matchbook
2.943.852.46
Pinnacle
2.893.742.43
William Hill
2.703.602.30
Fair odds (average of 22, margin removed)2.993.912.44

Augsburg win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

WWK Arena, Augsburg
Christian Dingert
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Augsburg
Freiburg
Oct 31, 26
FC Augsburg
1-2
SC Freiburg
Jan 18, 26
FC Augsburg
2-2
SC Freiburg
Aug 23, 25
SC Freiburg
1-3
FC Augsburg
Mar 2, 25
FC Augsburg
0-0
SC Freiburg
Oct 19, 24
SC Freiburg
3-1
FC Augsburg
Feb 25, 24
FC Augsburg
2-1
SC Freiburg
Oct 1, 23
SC Freiburg
2-0
FC Augsburg
Jan 28, 23
SC Freiburg
3-1
FC Augsburg
Lineups
FC Augsburg3-4-2-1
Coach: M. Baum
1F. DahmenG
14Y. KeitelD
6J. GouweleeuwD
5C. MatsimaD
19R. FellhauerM
4H. MassengoM
32F. RiederM
16Hennes BehrensM
30A. KadeM
21A. IbrahimovićM
11M. GregoritschF
SC Freiburg4-2-3-1
Coach: J. Schuster
1M. BackhausG
17L. KüblerD
28M. GinterD
3P. LienhartD
33J. MakengoD
8M. EggesteinM
16Y. EngelhardtM
19J. BesteM
14Y. SuzukiM
7D. ScherhantM
9L. HölerF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Augsburg vs Freiburg?

Freiburg won 2–1.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Freiburg was the favourite at 40% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Augsburg 34%, draw 26%, Freiburg 40%).