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Sunday, October 25, 2026

Auxerre
45%
Draw
27%
Le Mans
28%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

AuxerreAuxerre
1 — 1
Le MansLe Mans
Draw

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Draw.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Auxerre27%✗ Upset
KalshiFavourite: Auxerre27%✗ Upset
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Auxerre26%✗ Upset
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket2.193.763.62
Kalshi2.213.693.62
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)2.183.783.61
Sportsbook Odds22 books
= best
Bookmaker1X2
Betfair
2.183.753.55
LeoVegas
2.053.803.65
Unibet (SE)
2.053.803.65
Pinnacle
2.143.633.51
William Hill
2.053.403.30
Fair odds (average of 22, margin removed)2.183.783.61

Auxerre win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre
Willy Delajod
Head to HeadLast 6 meetings
Auxerre
Le Mans
Oct 25, 26
Auxerre
1-1
Le Mans
Aug 1, 20
Auxerre
3-2
Le Mans
Jan 10, 20
Le Mans
0-1
Auxerre
Aug 2, 19
Auxerre
2-0
Le Mans
Jan 25, 13
Auxerre
1-1
Le Mans
Aug 20, 12
Le Mans
3-1
Auxerre
Lineups
Auxerre3-4-2-1
Coach: W. Still
1P. NardiG
15C. MakossoD
4A. TuanzebeD
92C. AkpaD
27L. SyM
8N. AhamadaM
5K. DanoisM
22F. OppegårdM
21R. FaivreM
10D. NamasoM
9C. ArcherF
Le Mans3-5-2
Coach: P. Videira
98N. KocikG
19D. SidibéD
17S. YohouD
16Raúl TorrenteD
18L. BuadésM
9A. RabillardM
29L. BretelleM
8A. LaurayM
22L. CalodatM
14L. MafoutaF
13H. DialloF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Auxerre vs Le Mans?

Auxerre vs Le Mans ended in a 1–1 draw.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Auxerre was the favourite at 45% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Auxerre 45%, draw 27%, Le Mans 28%).