AZ Alkmaar
75%
Draw
16%
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
10%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
AZ Alkmaar
2 — 1
Hapoel Be'er ShevaAZ Alkmaar wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: AZ Alkmaar.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: AZ Alkmaar | AZ Alkmaar | 75% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: AZ Alkmaar | AZ Alkmaar | 75% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: AZ Alkmaar | AZ Alkmaar | 73% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1AZ Alkmaar | XDraw | 2Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.33 | 6.48 | 10.58 |
| Kalshi | 1.34 | 6.37 | 10.20 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.37 | 6.07 | 9.70 |
AZ Alkmaar win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva?
AZ Alkmaar won 2–1.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
AZ Alkmaar was the favourite at 75% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: AZ Alkmaar 75%, draw 16%, Hapoel Be'er Sheva 10%).
