Barcelona
74%
Draw
14%
Aston Villa
12%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Barcelona
3 — 0
Aston VillaBarcelona wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Barcelona.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Barcelona | Barcelona | 74% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: Barcelona | Barcelona | 75% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Barcelona | Barcelona | 75% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Barcelona | XDraw | 2Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.34 | 7.00 | 8.83 |
| Kalshi | 1.34 | 7.28 | 8.50 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.33 | 7.38 | 8.97 |
Sportsbook Odds22 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Barcelona | XDraw | 2Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|---|
 Betfair | 1.29 | 7.80 | 10.00 |
 1xBet | 1.30 | 7.32 | 9.05 |
 Matchbook | 1.29 | 7.80 | 10.00 |
 Pinnacle | 1.27 | 7.12 | 8.89 |
 William Hill | 1.29 | 6.00 | 7.50 |
 Marathon | 1.28 | 7.20 | 8.90 |
 BetOnline | 1.28 | 7.15 | 8.85 |
 888sport | 1.29 | 6.00 | 7.50 |
 BetAnySports | 1.28 | 7.15 | 8.85 |
 Betclic | 1.21 | 7.00 | 8.00 |
 Betsson | 1.26 | 6.90 | 8.50 |
 Codere | 1.28 | 6.80 | 8.20 |
 Coolbet | 1.28 | 7.25 | 9.50 |
 GTbets | 1.29 | 6.74 | 8.14 |
 LeoVegas | 1.24 | 7.00 | 8.50 |
 NordicBet | 1.27 | 7.10 | 8.70 |
PMU | 1.21 | 6.50 | 8.00 |
 Unibet (FR) | 1.20 | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.27 | 7.50 | 9.50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.27 | 7.50 | 9.50 |
 Winamax (DE) | 1.24 | 7.00 | 7.50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.20 | 7.00 | 7.25 |
| Fair odds (average of 22, margin removed) | 1.33 | 7.38 | 8.97 |
Barcelona win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Barcelona vs Aston Villa?
Barcelona won 3–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Barcelona was the favourite at 74% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Barcelona 74%, draw 14%, Aston Villa 12%).
