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Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg

Freiburg

Sunday, October 18, 2026

Bayer Leverkusen
60%
Draw
22%
Freiburg
19%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
2 — 1
FreiburgFreiburg
Bayer Leverkusen wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Bayer Leverkusen.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Bayer Leverkusen60%✓ Won
KalshiFavourite: Bayer Leverkusen60%✓ Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Bayer Leverkusen59%✓ Won
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket1.674.635.38
Kalshi1.684.575.43
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)1.694.695.10

Bayer Leverkusen win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen
Matchday 6
Florian Badstubner
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Bayer Leverkusen
Freiburg
Oct 18, 26
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1
SC Freiburg
Mar 7, 26
SC Freiburg
3-3
Bayer Leverkusen
Oct 26, 25
Bayer Leverkusen
2-0
SC Freiburg
May 4, 25
SC Freiburg
2-2
Bayer Leverkusen
Dec 21, 24
Bayer Leverkusen
5-1
SC Freiburg
Mar 17, 24
SC Freiburg
2-3
Bayer Leverkusen
Oct 29, 23
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1
SC Freiburg
Feb 26, 23
SC Freiburg
1-1
Bayer Leverkusen
Lineups
Bayer Leverkusen4-2-3-1
Coach: Carles Martínez
1M. FlekkenG
4J. QuansahD
12E. TapsobaD
2F. MedinaD
3Miguel GutiérrezD
24Aleix GarcíaM
6E. FernándezM
19M. DiabyM
30I. MazaM
9Afonso MoreiraM
14P. SchickF
SC Freiburg4-2-3-1
Coach: J. Schuster
1M. BackhausG
29P. TreuD
28M. GinterD
3P. LienhartD
33J. MakengoD
8M. EggesteinM
16Y. EngelhardtM
19J. BesteM
42K. GotoM
7D. ScherhantM
31I. MatanovićF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg?

Bayer Leverkusen won 2–1.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Bayer Leverkusen was the favourite at 60% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Bayer Leverkusen 60%, draw 22%, Freiburg 19%).