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bundesligaFull Time

Saturday, October 31, 2026

Bayer Leverkusen
58%
Draw
22%
Stuttgart
20%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
2 — 4
StuttgartStuttgart
Stuttgart wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Stuttgart.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Bayer Leverkusen20%✗ Upset
KalshiFavourite: Bayer Leverkusen20%✗ Upset
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Bayer Leverkusen22%✗ Upset
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket1.724.684.90
Kalshi1.714.595.05
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)1.764.704.56
Sportsbook Odds22 books
= best
Bookmaker1X2
Betfair
1.724.604.80
1xBet
1.754.724.32
Matchbook
1.724.604.80
Pinnacle
1.684.554.69
William Hill
1.654.204.20
Fair odds (average of 22, margin removed)1.764.704.56

Bayer Leverkusen win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen
Benjamin Brand
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Bayer Leverkusen
Stuttgart
Oct 31, 26
Bayer Leverkusen
2-4
VfB Stuttgart
May 9, 26
VfB Stuttgart
3-1
Bayer Leverkusen
Jan 10, 26
Bayer Leverkusen
1-4
VfB Stuttgart
Mar 16, 25
VfB Stuttgart
3-4
Bayer Leverkusen
Nov 1, 24
Bayer Leverkusen
0-0
VfB Stuttgart
Aug 17, 24
Bayer Leverkusen
2-2
VfB Stuttgart
Apr 27, 24
Bayer Leverkusen
2-2
VfB Stuttgart
Feb 6, 24
Bayer Leverkusen
3-2
VfB Stuttgart
Lineups
Bayer Leverkusen4-2-3-1
Coach: Carles Martínez
1M. FlekkenG
4J. QuansahD
12E. TapsobaD
2F. MedinaD
3Miguel GutiérrezD
6E. FernándezM
24Aleix GarcíaM
17Lucas VázquezM
30I. MazaM
9Afonso MoreiraM
14P. SchickF
VfB Stuttgart3-4-1-2
Coach: S. Hoeneb
41D. SeimenG
14L. JaquezD
24J. ChabotD
3R. HendriksD
18J. LewelingM
16A. KarazorM
21G. PrömelM
10C. FührichM
11B. El KhannoussM
26D. UndavF
9E. DemirovićF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart?

Stuttgart won 4–2.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Bayer Leverkusen was the favourite at 58% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Bayer Leverkusen 58%, draw 22%, Stuttgart 20%).