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Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund

Saturday, October 31, 2026

Bayern Munich

73%

Draw

16%

Borussia Dortmund

12%

Prediction-market prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Prediction markets vs bookmakers= cheaper price

Platform	1Bayern Munich	XDraw	2Borussia Dortmund
Polymarket	1.37	6.48	8.74
Kalshi	1.38	6.31	8.42
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)	1.40	6.10	8.10

Goals: Kalshi vs bookmakers

Over/under 2.5 goals and both teams to score. Fair = bookmaker consensus with the margin removed.

Market	Kalshi	Best bookmaker	Fair
Both teams to score	1.49	1.51Matchbook	1.54
Not both to score	3.03	2.88Matchbook	2.86

Kalshi volume traded: BTTS $1,337

Sportsbook Odds22 books

= best

Bookmaker	1Bayern Munich	XDraw	2Borussia Dortmund
Betfair	1.36	6.40	8.80
1xBet	1.36	6.29	8.20
Matchbook	1.36	6.40	8.80
Pinnacle	1.34	5.75	8.62
William Hill	1.33	5.00	7.00
Marathon	1.34	6.20	8.10
BetOnline	1.34	5.75	8.60
888sport	1.33	5.00	7.00
Betclic	1.28	5.75	6.90
Betsson	1.32	5.65	7.70
Codere	1.34	6.00	7.20
Coolbet	1.34	5.45	8.25
GTbets	1.34	5.77	7.25
LeoVegas	1.30	5.60	7.00
NordicBet	1.32	5.65	7.80
PMU	1.29	5.40	7.00
Tipico	1.32	6.00	7.80
Unibet (FR)	1.27	5.50	6.60
Unibet (NL)	1.34	6.00	8.00
Unibet (SE)	1.35	6.25	8.00
Winamax (DE)	1.30	5.80	7.50
Winamax (FR)	1.28	5.40	7.00
Fair odds (average of 22, margin removed)	1.40	6.10	8.10

Show all 22 bookmakers

Bayern Munich win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus.

Allianz Arena, Munich

Matchday 8

League Position

Bayern Munich

WWDWW

+19

Pts

Borussia Dortmund

WDDWW

Pts

Season Stats

Bayern Munich

Borussia Dortmund

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

3.6

Avg Goals/Game

1.7

Clean Sheets

Failed to Score

3W-0D-0L

Home Record

3W-1D-0L

2W-2D-0L

Away Record

2W-1D-0L

4-2-3-1

Formation

3-4-2-1

Head to HeadLast 8 meetings

Bayern Munich

Borussia Dortmund

Aug 22, 26

Borussia Dortmund

1-2

Bayern München

Feb 28, 26

Borussia Dortmund

2-3

Bayern München

Oct 18, 25

Bayern München

2-1

Borussia Dortmund

Apr 12, 25

Bayern München

2-2

Borussia Dortmund

Nov 30, 24

Borussia Dortmund

1-1

Bayern München

Mar 30, 24

Bayern Munich

0-2

Borussia Dortmund

Nov 4, 23

Borussia Dortmund

0-4

Bayern Munich

Apr 1, 23

Bayern Munich

4-2

Borussia Dortmund

Injuries & Suspensions

Bayern Munich

T. Buchmann

Knee Injury

S. Gnabry

Muscle Injury

J. Musiala

Health problems

L. Diaz

Muscle Injury

Kim Min-Jae

Groin Injury

Borussia Dortmund

R. Bensebaini

Ribs Injury

E. Can

Knee Injury

M. Kaba

Injury

N. Schlotterbeck

Ankle Injury

S. Inacio

Red Card

Key Players

Bayern Munich

H. Kane

Attacker · 7 apps

Goals

Assists

M. Olise

Midfielder · 7 apps

Goals

Assists

L. Díaz

Midfielder · 6 apps

Goals

Assists

I. Saibari

Midfielder · 7 apps

Goals

Assists

J. Kimmich

Midfielder · 6 apps

Goals

Assists

Borussia Dortmund

S. Guirassy

Attacker · 7 apps

Goals

Assists

Fábio Silva

Attacker · 6 apps

Goals

Assists

M. Beier

Midfielder · 7 apps

Goals

Assists

F. Nmecha

Midfielder · 7 apps

Goals

Assists

J. Bellingham

Midfielder · 7 apps

Goals

Assists

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is the favourite for Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund?

Bayern Munich is the favourite at 73% according to Polymarket and Kalshi: Bayern Munich 73%, draw 16%, Borussia Dortmund 12%.

What is Bayern Munich's current form?

Bayern Munich's last 5 results: Win, Win, Draw, Win, Win.

Are there any injuries for Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund?

Bayern Munich has 8 players injured or doubtful. Borussia Dortmund has 10 players injured or doubtful.

Where can I bet on Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund?

On prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi — availability depends on your country) or with bookmakers such as Pinnacle, Betfair and 20+ others. This page compares their prices side by side.