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Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

Saturday, October 17, 2026

Bayern Munich
80%
Draw
13%
RB Leipzig
8%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Bayern MunichBayern Munich
6 — 1
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
Bayern Munich wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Bayern Munich.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Bayern Munich80%✓ Won
KalshiFavourite: Bayern Munich79%✓ Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Bayern Munich79%✓ Won
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket1.258.0413.40
Kalshi1.267.8412.76
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)1.268.3111.39

Bayern Munich win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Allianz Arena, Munich
Matchday 6
Tobias Stieler
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig
Oct 17, 26
Bayern München
6-0
RB Leipzig
Aug 15, 26
Bayern München
3-1
RB Leipzig
Feb 11, 26
Bayern München
2-0
RB Leipzig
Jan 17, 26
RB Leipzig
1-5
Bayern München
Aug 22, 25
Bayern München
6-0
RB Leipzig
May 3, 25
RB Leipzig
3-3
Bayern München
Dec 20, 24
Bayern München
5-1
RB Leipzig
Feb 24, 24
Bayern Munich
2-1
RB Leipzig
Lineups
Bayern München4-2-3-1
Coach: V. Kompany
40J. UrbigG
27K. LaimerD
2D. UpamecanoD
3Kim Min-JaeD
11N. BrownD
6J. KimmichM
45A. PavlovićM
17M. OliseM
34I. SaibariM
14L. DíazM
9H. KaneF
RB Leipzig4-5-1
Coach: M. Demichelis
26M. VandevoordtG
16L. KlostermannD
4W. OrbánD
23C. LukebaD
22D. RaumD
10B. GrudaM
20R. ReitzM
21N. El AynaouiM
6E. BanzuziM
7A. NusaM
28C. NkunkuF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig?

Bayern Munich won 6–1.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Bayern Munich was the favourite at 80% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Bayern Munich 80%, draw 13%, RB Leipzig 8%).