Bologna
15%
Draw
23%
Inter Milan
61%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Bologna
1 — 3
Inter MilanInter Milan wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Inter Milan.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Inter Milan | Inter Milan | 61% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: Inter Milan | Inter Milan | 62% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Inter Milan | Inter Milan | 61% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Bologna | XDraw | 2Inter Milan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 6.49 | 4.28 | 1.63 |
| Kalshi | 6.80 | 4.25 | 1.62 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 6.12 | 4.37 | 1.65 |
Bologna win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
BolognaInter Milan
Oct 17, 26
Bologna
1-3
InterMay 23, 26
Bologna
3-3
InterJan 4, 26
Inter
3-1
BolognaDec 19, 25
Bologna
1-1
InterApr 20, 25
Bologna
1-0
InterJan 15, 25
Inter
2-2
BolognaMar 9, 24
Bologna
0-1
InterDec 20, 23
Inter
1-2
BolognaLineups
Bologna3-4-2-1
Coach: Raffaele Palladino
1Ł. SkorupskiG
36M. DarmianD
16N. CasaleD
3A. TheateD
20N. ZorteaM
19L. FergusonM
4T. PobegaM
33Juan MirandaM
10F. BernardeschiM
28N. CambiaghiM
91R. PiccoliF
Inter3-5-2
Coach: C. Chivu
1Josep MartínezG
31Y. BisseckD
25M. AkanjiD
95A. BastoniD
11Luis HenriqueM
23N. BarellaM
7P. ZielińskiM
8P. SučićM
32F. DimarcoM
9M. ThuramF
94F. EspositoF
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Bologna vs Inter Milan?
Inter Milan won 3–1.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Inter Milan was the favourite at 61% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Bologna 15%, draw 23%, Inter Milan 61%).
