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Bologna vs Monza

Saturday, October 31, 2026

Bologna

58%

Draw

25%

Monza

17%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Bologna

2 — 1

Monza

Bologna wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Bologna.

Source	Favourite	Result %Chance given to the result	Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Bologna	Bologna	58%	✓ Favourite won Won
KalshiFavourite: Bologna	Bologna	58%	✓ Favourite won Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Bologna	Bologna	56%	✓ Favourite won Won

Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price

Platform	1Bologna	XDraw	2Monza
Polymarket	1.72	4.10	5.74
Kalshi	1.71	4.04	5.94
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)	1.79	4.04	5.18

Sportsbook Odds23 books

= best

Bookmaker	1Bologna	XDraw	2Monza
Betfair	1.74	4.00	5.50
1xBet	1.74	4.01	5.20
Matchbook	1.74	4.00	5.50
Unibet (SE)	1.77	3.95	4.90
Pinnacle	1.72	3.92	5.16
William Hill	1.67	3.60	4.75
Marathon	1.69	3.90	5.05
BetOnline	1.69	3.90	5.30
888sport	1.67	3.60	4.75
BetAnySports	1.69	3.90	5.30
Betclic	1.64	3.75	4.65
Betsson	1.68	3.85	5.05
Codere	1.71	3.85	4.80
Coolbet	1.74	3.85	5.10
GTbets	1.73	3.85	4.95
LeoVegas	1.68	3.65	4.50
NordicBet	1.68	3.80	5.00
PMU	1.66	3.60	4.35
Tipico	1.65	3.80	5.20
Unibet (FR)	1.62	3.70	4.50
Unibet (NL)	1.73	3.85	4.70
Winamax (DE)	1.64	3.95	4.60
Winamax (FR)	1.62	3.80	4.40
Fair odds (average of 23, margin removed)	1.79	4.04	5.18