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bundesligaFull Time

Saturday, October 24, 2026

Borussia Dortmund
65%
Draw
19%
Eintracht Frankfurt
16%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
1 — 0
Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
Borussia Dortmund wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Borussia Dortmund.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Borussia Dortmund65%✓ Won
KalshiFavourite: Borussia Dortmund65%✓ Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Borussia Dortmund64%✓ Won
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket1.535.436.09
Kalshi1.535.326.31
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)1.565.265.93
Sportsbook Odds22 books
= best
Bookmaker1X2
Betfair
1.525.306.20
1xBet
1.535.185.84
Matchbook
1.535.306.20
Pinnacle
1.515.075.72
William Hill
1.444.605.00
Fair odds (average of 22, margin removed)1.565.265.93

Borussia Dortmund win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund
Sven Jablonski
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Borussia Dortmund
Eintracht Frankfurt
Oct 24, 26
Borussia Dortmund
0-0
Eintracht Frankfurt
May 8, 26
Borussia Dortmund
3-2
Eintracht Frankfurt
Jan 9, 26
Eintracht Frankfurt
3-3
Borussia Dortmund
Oct 28, 25
Eintracht Frankfurt
1-1
Borussia Dortmund
Jan 17, 25
Eintracht Frankfurt
2-0
Borussia Dortmund
Aug 24, 24
Borussia Dortmund
2-0
Eintracht Frankfurt
Mar 17, 24
Borussia Dortmund
3-1
Eintracht Frankfurt
Oct 29, 23
Eintracht Frankfurt
3-3
Borussia Dortmund
Lineups
Borussia Dortmund3-4-2-1
Coach: N. Kovač
1G. KobelG
3W. AntonD
4N. SchlotterbeckD
5R. BensebaïniD
26J. RyersonM
25J. VeermanM
8F. NmechaM
24D. SvenssonM
20M. SabitzerM
21Fábio SilvaM
9S. GuirassyF
Eintracht Frankfurt4-4-2
Coach: A. Hütter
1N. AtuboluG
34N. CollinsD
4R. KochD
3L. BrassierD
2Elias BaumD
20R. DōanM
15N. Aséko NkiliM
25R. OnyedikaM
8F. ChaïbiM
11Y. EbnoutalibF
9J. BurkardtF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Borussia Dortmund won 1–0.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Borussia Dortmund was the favourite at 65% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Borussia Dortmund 65%, draw 19%, Eintracht Frankfurt 16%).