Borussia Dortmund
54%
Draw
23%
Villarreal
23%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Borussia Dortmund
3 — 2
VillarrealBorussia Dortmund wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Borussia Dortmund.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiFavourite: Borussia Dortmund | Borussia Dortmund | 54% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Borussia Dortmund | Borussia Dortmund | 54% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds
| Platform | 1Borussia Dortmund | XDraw | 2Villarreal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.84 | 4.39 | 4.39 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.85 | 4.33 | 4.38 |
Sportsbook Odds20 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Borussia Dortmund | XDraw | 2Villarreal |
|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.83 | 4.12 | 4.22 |
 Betsson | 1.78 | 3.95 | 4.45 |
 NordicBet | 1.78 | 3.95 | 4.45 |
 Unibet (NL) | 1.77 | 4.35 | 4.30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.77 | 4.35 | 4.30 |
 Pinnacle | 1.79 | 4.03 | 4.08 |
 Betfair | 1.81 | 4.10 | 4.00 |
 William Hill | 1.80 | 3.80 | 4.00 |
 Marathon | 1.82 | 4.10 | 4.20 |
 888sport | 1.80 | 3.80 | 4.00 |
 Betclic | 1.70 | 3.83 | 3.95 |
 Codere | 1.78 | 4.00 | 4.20 |
 Coolbet | 1.78 | 4.20 | 4.30 |
 GTbets | 1.77 | 3.96 | 4.29 |
 LeoVegas | 1.72 | 4.10 | 4.10 |
PMU | 1.72 | 4.10 | 4.10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.73 | 3.90 | 4.00 |
 Winamax (DE) | 1.72 | 4.00 | 3.90 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.62 | 3.60 | 3.50 |
Suprabets | 1.74 | 3.88 | 3.86 |
| Fair odds (average of 20, margin removed) | 1.87 | 4.25 | 4.36 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal?
Borussia Dortmund won 3–2.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Borussia Dortmund was the favourite at 54% on Kalshi (closing prices: Borussia Dortmund 54%, draw 23%, Villarreal 23%).
