Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen

Friday, October 9, 2026

Borussia Dortmund

73%

Draw

17%

Werder Bremen

10%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Borussia Dortmund

2 — 2

Werder Bremen

Draw

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Draw.

Source	Favourite	Result %Chance given to the result	Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Borussia Dortmund	Borussia Dortmund	17%	✗ Upset
KalshiFavourite: Borussia Dortmund	Borussia Dortmund	17%	✗ Upset
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Borussia Dortmund	Borussia Dortmund	18%	✗ Upset

Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price

Platform	1Borussia Dortmund	XDraw	2Werder Bremen
Polymarket	1.37	6.03	9.48
Kalshi	1.37	5.88	10.00
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)	1.42	5.62	8.33

Sportsbook Odds21 books

= best

Bookmaker	1Borussia Dortmund	XDraw	2Werder Bremen
Betfair	1.40	5.70	8.60
Matchbook	1.40	5.70	8.60
Unibet (NL)	1.32	5.80	9.00
Unibet (SE)	1.34	6.00	9.00
Pinnacle	1.39	5.35	8.25
William Hill	1.33	5.00	7.50
BetOnline	1.37	5.45	8.00
888sport	1.33	5.00	7.50
1xBet	1.38	5.59	8.80
Betclic	1.31	5.25	7.25
Betsson	1.36	4.80	8.30
Codere	1.37	5.40	7.20
Coolbet	1.38	5.50	8.08
Everygame	1.36	5.00	8.00
GTbets	1.37	5.40	8.05
LeoVegas	1.29	5.40	8.00
NordicBet	1.36	4.80	8.30
Tipico	1.35	5.50	7.80
Unibet (FR)	1.29	5.40	7.00
Winamax (DE)	1.36	5.30	7.00
Winamax (FR)	1.34	5.10	6.75
Fair odds (average of 21, margin removed)	1.42	5.62	8.33