Bournemouth
48%
Draw
26%
AC Milan
27%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Bournemouth
3 — 0
AC MilanBournemouth wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Bournemouth.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Bournemouth | Bournemouth | 48% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: Bournemouth | Bournemouth | 48% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Bournemouth | Bournemouth | 47% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Bournemouth | XDraw | 2AC Milan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2.07 | 3.94 | 3.79 |
| Kalshi | 2.10 | 3.88 | 3.74 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 2.12 | 3.90 | 3.68 |
Bournemouth win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Bournemouth vs AC Milan?
Bournemouth won 3–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Bournemouth was the favourite at 48% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Bournemouth 48%, draw 26%, AC Milan 27%).
