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Saturday, October 31, 2026

Bournemouth
47%
Draw
28%
Leeds United
25%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

BournemouthBournemouth
2 — 0
Leeds UnitedLeeds United
Bournemouth wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Bournemouth.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Bournemouth48%✓ Won
KalshiFavourite: Bournemouth46%✓ Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Bournemouth45%✓ Won
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket2.093.624.06
Kalshi2.173.523.92
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)2.203.543.81
Sportsbook Odds24 books
= best
Bookmaker1X2
Betfair
2.183.453.90
1xBet
2.203.493.65
Matchbook
2.183.453.90
Unibet (NL)
2.143.503.70
Unibet (SE)
2.143.503.70
Fair odds (average of 24, margin removed)2.203.543.81

Bournemouth win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
Michael Salisbury
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Bournemouth
Leeds United
Oct 31, 26
Bournemouth
2-0
Leeds
Apr 22, 26
Bournemouth
2-2
Leeds
Sep 27, 25
Leeds
2-2
Bournemouth
Apr 30, 23
Bournemouth
4-1
Leeds
Nov 5, 22
Leeds
4-3
Bournemouth
Jan 20, 15
Leeds
1-0
Bournemouth
Sep 16, 14
Bournemouth
1-3
Leeds
Mar 25, 14
Bournemouth
4-1
Leeds
Lineups
Bournemouth4-2-3-1
Coach: M. Rose
1Đ. PetrovićG
15A. SmithD
5J. HillD
14António SilvaD
3A. TruffertD
12T. AdamsM
10R. ChristieM
37RayanM
19J. KluivertM
16M. TavernierM
9EvanilsonF
Leeds3-4-2-1
Coach: D. Farke
1J. TraffordG
24J. JustinD
30N. ElvediD
5T. MuharemovićD
2J. BogleM
4E. AmpaduM
22A. TanakaM
3G. GudmundssonM
10H. WilsonM
7D. JamesM
9D. Calvert-LewinF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Bournemouth vs Leeds United?

Bournemouth won 2–0.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Bournemouth was the favourite at 47% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Bournemouth 47%, draw 28%, Leeds United 25%).