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Sunday, October 18, 2026

Bournemouth
48%
Draw
29%
Sunderland
23%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

BournemouthBournemouth
2 — 0
SunderlandSunderland
Bournemouth wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Bournemouth.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Bournemouth48%✓ Won
KalshiFavourite: Bournemouth48%✓ Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Bournemouth47%✓ Won
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket2.083.474.30
Kalshi2.083.524.25
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)2.123.504.11

Bournemouth win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
Craig Pawson
Head to HeadLast 7 meetings
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Oct 18, 26
Bournemouth
2-0
Sunderland
Feb 28, 26
Bournemouth
1-1
Sunderland
Nov 29, 25
Sunderland
3-2
Bournemouth
Apr 29, 17
Sunderland
0-1
Bournemouth
Nov 5, 16
Bournemouth
1-2
Sunderland
Jan 23, 16
Sunderland
1-1
Bournemouth
Sep 19, 15
Bournemouth
2-0
Sunderland
Lineups
Bournemouth4-2-3-1
Coach: M. Rose
1Đ. PetrovićG
15A. SmithD
5J. HillD
14António SilvaD
3A. TruffertD
12T. AdamsM
10R. ChristieM
37RayanM
4L. CookM
16M. TavernierM
9EvanilsonF
Sunderland4-2-3-1
Coach: R. Le Bris
22R. RoefsG
20N. MukieleD
4K. DansoD
15O. AldereteD
17ReinildoD
34G. XhakaM
27N. SadikiM
32T. HumeM
11C. RiggM
28E. Le FéeM
57Timur TuterovF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Bournemouth vs Sunderland?

Bournemouth won 2–0.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Bournemouth was the favourite at 48% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Bournemouth 48%, draw 29%, Sunderland 23%).