Brentford
35%
Draw
27%
Liverpool
38%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Brentford
1 — 2
LiverpoolLiverpool wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Liverpool.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Liverpool | Liverpool | 38% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: Liverpool | Liverpool | 39% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Brentford | Brentford | 34% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Brentford | XDraw | 2Liverpool |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2.85 | 3.72 | 2.63 |
| Kalshi | 2.89 | 3.74 | 2.59 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 2.53 | 3.79 | 2.93 |
Brentford win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
BrentfordLiverpool
Oct 17, 26
Brentford
1-2
LiverpoolMay 24, 26
Liverpool
1-1
BrentfordOct 25, 25
Brentford
3-2
LiverpoolJan 18, 25
Brentford
0-2
LiverpoolAug 25, 24
Liverpool
2-0
BrentfordFeb 17, 24
Brentford
1-4
LiverpoolNov 12, 23
Liverpool
3-0
BrentfordMay 6, 23
Liverpool
1-0
BrentfordLineups
Brentford4-2-3-1
Coach: Keith Andrews
1C. KelleherG
33M. KayodeD
20K. AjerD
4S. van den BergD
23K. Lewis-PotterD
6Y. YarmolyukM
27V. JaneltM
11D. OuattaraM
8M. JensenM
19J. AnthonyM
9ThiagoF
Liverpool4-2-3-1
Coach: Andoni Iraola
1Alisson BeckerG
33R. AraújoD
5J. JacquetD
4V. van DijkD
6M. KerkezD
10A. Mac AllisterM
8D. SzoboszlaiM
23Víctor MuñozM
7F. WirtzM
29B. BarcolaM
9A. IsakF
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Brentford vs Liverpool?
Liverpool won 2–1.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Liverpool was the favourite at 38% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Brentford 35%, draw 27%, Liverpool 38%).
