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Friday, October 23, 2026

Brest
41%
Draw
28%
Nice
31%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

BrestBrest
1 — 2
NiceNice
Nice wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Nice.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Brest32%✗ Upset
KalshiFavourite: Brest31%✗ Upset
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Brest31%✗ Upset
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket2.463.623.16
Kalshi2.483.503.22
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)2.443.603.20
Sportsbook Odds21 books
= best
Bookmaker1X2
Betfair
2.463.553.10
LeoVegas
2.333.553.20
Unibet (SE)
2.333.553.20
Pinnacle
2.423.423.10
William Hill
2.303.402.75
Fair odds (average of 21, margin removed)2.443.603.20

Brest win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Stade Francis-Le-Blé, Brest
Guillaume Paradis
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Brest
Nice
Feb 1, 26
Nice
2-2
Stade Brestois 29
Sep 20, 25
Stade Brestois 29
4-1
Nice
May 17, 25
Nice
6-0
Stade Brestois 29
Nov 2, 24
Stade Brestois 29
0-1
Nice
Feb 4, 24
Stade Brestois 29
0-0
Nice
Oct 1, 23
Nice
0-0
Stade Brestois 29
Jul 26, 23
Nice
?-?
Stade Brestois 29
Apr 16, 23
Stade Brestois 29
1-0
Nice
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Brest vs Nice?

Nice won 2–1.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Brest was the favourite at 41% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Brest 41%, draw 28%, Nice 31%).