Brighton
20%
Draw
24%
Arsenal
57%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Brighton
3 — 0
ArsenalBrighton wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Brighton.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiFavourite: Arsenal | Arsenal | 20% | ✗ Upset |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Arsenal | Arsenal | 20% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds
| Platform | 1Brighton | XDraw | 2Arsenal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 5.10 | 4.25 | 1.76 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 5.13 | 4.18 | 1.77 |
Sportsbook Odds12 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Brighton | XDraw | 2Arsenal |
|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 4.72 | 3.85 | 1.84 |
 Tipico | 4.50 | 3.90 | 1.72 |
 Betfair | 4.00 | 3.85 | 1.66 |
 William Hill | 4.33 | 3.60 | 1.80 |
 Marathon | 4.65 | 3.80 | 1.81 |
 MyBookie | 4.30 | 3.60 | 1.75 |
 888sport | 4.20 | 3.50 | 1.80 |
 Betclic | 4.25 | 3.55 | 1.65 |
 Codere | 4.50 | 3.75 | 1.79 |
 Unibet (FR) | 4.10 | 3.40 | 1.67 |
 Winamax (DE) | 4.20 | 3.70 | 1.74 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.85 | 3.40 | 1.66 |
| Fair odds (average of 12, margin removed) | 4.64 | 3.95 | 1.88 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Brighton vs Arsenal?
Brighton won 3–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Arsenal was the favourite at 57% on Kalshi (closing prices: Brighton 20%, draw 24%, Arsenal 57%).
