Brighton
44%
Draw
27%
Aston Villa
30%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Brighton
4 — 0
Aston VillaBrighton wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Brighton.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiFavourite: Brighton | Brighton | 44% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Brighton | Brighton | 43% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds
| Platform | 1Brighton | XDraw | 2Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.30 | 3.74 | 3.37 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 2.31 | 3.73 | 3.34 |
Sportsbook Odds22 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Brighton | XDraw | 2Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|---|
 Betfair | 2.28 | 3.80 | 3.20 |
 1xBet | 2.34 | 3.76 | 3.11 |
 Matchbook | 2.28 | 3.85 | 3.20 |
 Pinnacle | 2.26 | 3.62 | 3.02 |
 William Hill | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.90 |
 Marathon | 2.30 | 3.70 | 3.06 |
 BetOnline | 2.25 | 3.73 | 3.10 |
 MyBookie | 2.21 | 3.55 | 2.89 |
 888sport | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.90 |
 Betclic | 2.15 | 3.50 | 2.85 |
 Betsson | 2.28 | 3.55 | 3.00 |
 Codere | 2.27 | 3.65 | 2.95 |
 Coolbet | 2.25 | 3.72 | 2.97 |
 LeoVegas | 2.28 | 3.60 | 2.95 |
 NordicBet | 2.28 | 3.55 | 3.00 |
PMU | 2.25 | 3.55 | 2.90 |
 Tipico | 2.20 | 3.70 | 3.00 |
 Unibet (FR) | 2.15 | 3.55 | 2.85 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.33 | 3.75 | 3.05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.33 | 3.75 | 3.05 |
 Winamax (DE) | 2.15 | 3.65 | 2.80 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15 | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| Fair odds (average of 22, margin removed) | 2.37 | 3.84 | 3.14 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Brighton vs Aston Villa?
Brighton won 4–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Brighton was the favourite at 44% on Kalshi (closing prices: Brighton 44%, draw 27%, Aston Villa 30%).
