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Sunday, October 18, 2026

Brighton
68%
Draw
19%
Crystal Palace
13%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

BrightonBrighton
5 — 0
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
Brighton wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Brighton.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Brighton69%✓ Won
KalshiFavourite: Brighton68%✓ Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Brighton66%✓ Won
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket1.455.387.96
Kalshi1.485.107.84
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)1.515.147.04

Brighton win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

American Express Stadium, Falmer
Robert Jones
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Brighton
Crystal Palace
Oct 18, 26
Brighton
5-0
Crystal Palace
Feb 8, 26
Brighton
0-1
Crystal Palace
Nov 9, 25
Crystal Palace
0-0
Brighton
Apr 5, 25
Crystal Palace
2-1
Brighton
Dec 15, 24
Brighton
1-3
Crystal Palace
Feb 3, 24
Brighton
4-1
Crystal Palace
Dec 21, 23
Crystal Palace
1-1
Brighton
Mar 15, 23
Brighton
1-0
Crystal Palace
Lineups
Brighton4-2-3-1
Coach: F. Hürzeler
1B. VerbruggenG
24F. KadıoğluD
44L. VuškovićD
5L. DunkD
21O. BoscagliD
13P. GroßM
14José María Andrés BaixauliM
25D. GómezM
26Y. AyariM
29M. De CuyperM
19C. KostoulasF
Crystal Palace3-4-2-1
Coach: P. Sage
44W. BenítezG
6J. CanvotD
26C. RichardsD
21H. AhanorD
25A. KhalailiM
20A. WhartonM
23Q. TimberM
3T. MitchellM
18D. KamadaM
10Yeremy PinoM
22J. Strand LarsenF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Brighton vs Crystal Palace?

Brighton won 5–0.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Brighton was the favourite at 68% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Brighton 68%, draw 19%, Crystal Palace 13%).