Brighton
49%
Draw
27%
Leeds United
25%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Brighton
1 — 1
Draw
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Draw.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 27% | ✗ Upset | |
| Brighton | 26% | ✗ Upset | |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Brighton | Brighton | 27% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Brighton | XDraw | 2Leeds United |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.05 | 3.75 | 4.06 | |
| 2.04 | 3.78 | 4.08 | |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 2.06 | 3.71 | 4.08 |
Sportsbook Odds11 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Brighton | XDraw | 2Leeds United |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.81 | 3.90 | 4.87 | |
| 1.61 | 1.09 | 1.06 | |
| 1.75 | 3.60 | 4.60 | |
| 1.78 | 3.84 | 4.80 | |
| 1.70 | 3.60 | 4.70 | |
| 1.75 | 3.50 | 4.60 | |
| 1.66 | 3.55 | 4.60 | |
| 1.70 | 3.80 | 4.80 | |
| 1.63 | 3.40 | 4.50 | |
| 1.68 | 3.70 | 4.50 | |
| 1.60 | 3.40 | 4.10 | |
| Fair odds (average of 11, margin removed) | 1.94 | 3.76 | 4.60 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Brighton vs Leeds United?
Brighton vs Leeds United ended in a 1–1 draw.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Brighton was the favourite at 49% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Brighton 49%, draw 27%, Leeds United 25%).