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Cagliari vs Bologna

Saturday, October 24, 2026

Cagliari

32%

Draw

32%

Bologna

36%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Cagliari

0 — 2

Bologna

Bologna wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Bologna.

Source	Favourite	Result %Chance given to the result	Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Bologna	Bologna	36%	✓ Favourite won Won
KalshiFavourite: Bologna	Bologna	37%	✓ Favourite won Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Bologna	Bologna	35%	✓ Favourite won Won

Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price

Platform	1Cagliari	XDraw	2Bologna
Polymarket	3.06	3.16	2.80
Kalshi	3.16	3.16	2.73
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)	3.07	3.11	2.83

Sportsbook Odds24 books

= best

Bookmaker	1Cagliari	XDraw	2Bologna
Betfair	3.05	3.10	2.80
1xBet	3.05	3.05	2.78
Matchbook	3.05	3.10	2.80
Pinnacle	2.96	3.03	2.78
William Hill	2.88	2.80	2.62
Marathon	2.96	2.96	2.70
BetOnline	2.94	3.00	2.76
888sport	2.88	2.80	2.62
BetAnySports	2.94	3.00	2.76
Betclic	2.78	2.90	2.58
Betsson	2.90	2.98	2.70
Codere	2.85	3.00	2.75
Coolbet	2.95	3.05	2.75
Everygame	2.90	2.95	2.70
GTbets	3.04	3.07	2.69
LeoVegas	2.85	2.85	2.60
NordicBet	2.88	2.95	2.68
PMU	2.75	2.80	2.55
Tipico	2.90	2.90	2.70
Unibet (FR)	2.75	2.90	2.50
Unibet (NL)	2.95	2.95	2.70
Unibet (SE)	3.00	3.05	2.75
Winamax (DE)	2.90	2.90	2.65
Winamax (FR)	2.80	2.80	2.55
Fair odds (average of 24, margin removed)	3.07	3.11	2.83