serieaFull Time

Cagliari vs Juventus

Sunday, October 11, 2026

Cagliari

14%

Draw

25%

Juventus

62%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Cagliari

1 — 1

Juventus

Draw

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Draw.

Source	Favourite	Result %Chance given to the result	Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Juventus	Juventus	25%	✗ Upset
KalshiFavourite: Juventus	Juventus	25%	✗ Upset
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Juventus	Juventus	24%	✗ Upset

Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price

Platform	1Cagliari	XDraw	2Juventus
Polymarket	7.37	4.06	1.62
Kalshi	7.28	4.08	1.62
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)	6.95	4.08	1.64

Sportsbook Odds23 books

= best

Bookmaker	1Cagliari	XDraw	2Juventus
Betfair	7.40	3.95	1.62
1xBet	6.70	4.04	1.62
Matchbook	7.40	3.95	1.61
Pinnacle	7.05	4.02	1.56
William Hill	6.00	3.70	1.55
BetOnline	7.00	4.00	1.56
888sport	6.00	3.70	1.53
BetAnySports	7.00	4.00	1.56
Betclic	6.40	3.95	1.52
Betsson	6.70	3.75	1.58
Codere	6.40	4.00	1.55
Coolbet	7.10	3.90	1.58
Everygame	6.75	3.90	1.53
GTbets	6.58	3.91	1.58
LeoVegas	6.40	3.65	1.51
NordicBet	6.50	3.75	1.55
PMU	6.40	3.65	1.51
Tipico	6.80	3.90	1.52
Unibet (FR)	5.80	3.70	1.50
Unibet (NL)	7.00	3.90	1.56
Unibet (SE)	7.00	3.90	1.56
Winamax (DE)	6.00	4.00	1.52
Winamax (FR)	5.80	3.95	1.50
Fair odds (average of 23, margin removed)	6.95	4.09	1.64