Celje
36%
Draw
28%
Omonia Nicosia
36%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Celje
0 — 3
Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Omonia Nicosia.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Omonia Nicosia | Omonia Nicosia | 36% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: Celje | Celje | 36% | ✗ Upset |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Celje | Celje | 35% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Celje | XDraw | 2Omonia Nicosia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2.83 | 3.53 | 2.75 |
| Kalshi | 2.76 | 3.64 | 2.76 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 2.72 | 3.56 | 2.85 |
Celje win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Celje vs Omonia Nicosia?
Omonia Nicosia won 3–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Omonia Nicosia was the favourite at 36% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Celje 36%, draw 28%, Omonia Nicosia 36%).
