Celje
15%
Draw
21%
RB Salzburg
64%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Celje
2 — 2
RB SalzburgDraw
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Draw.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: RB Salzburg | RB Salzburg | 21% | ✗ Upset |
 KalshiFavourite: RB Salzburg | RB Salzburg | 21% | ✗ Upset |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: RB Salzburg | RB Salzburg | 22% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Celje | XDraw | 2RB Salzburg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 6.45 | 4.76 | 1.57 |
| Kalshi | 6.67 | 4.76 | 1.56 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 5.88 | 4.64 | 1.63 |
Celje win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Celje vs RB Salzburg?
Celje vs RB Salzburg ended in a 2–2 draw.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
RB Salzburg was the favourite at 64% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Celje 15%, draw 21%, RB Salzburg 64%).
