Chelsea
53%
Draw
24%
Bournemouth
23%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Chelsea
5 — 1
BournemouthChelsea wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Chelsea.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Chelsea | Chelsea | 54% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: Chelsea | Chelsea | 53% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Chelsea | Chelsea | 53% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Chelsea | XDraw | 2Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.86 | 4.23 | 4.42 |
| Kalshi | 1.89 | 4.17 | 4.35 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.89 | 4.10 | 4.41 |
Chelsea win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
ChelseaBournemouth
Oct 10, 26
Chelsea
5-1
BournemouthDec 30, 25
Chelsea
2-2
BournemouthDec 6, 25
Bournemouth
0-0
ChelseaJan 14, 25
Chelsea
2-2
BournemouthSep 14, 24
Bournemouth
0-1
ChelseaMay 19, 24
Chelsea
2-1
BournemouthSep 17, 23
Bournemouth
0-0
ChelseaMay 6, 23
Bournemouth
1-3
ChelseaLineups
Chelsea3-4-3
Coach: Xabi Alonso
1E. MartínezG
34Joshua Kofi AcheampongD
5M. LacroixD
6L. ColwillD
7Pedro NetoM
14J. HendersonM
25M. CaicedoM
29Pep ChavarríaM
10C. PalmerF
9João PedroF
17M. RogersF
Bournemouth4-2-3-1
Coach: M. Rose
1Đ. PetrovićG
15A. SmithD
5J. HillD
14António SilvaD
3A. TruffertD
12T. AdamsM
10R. ChristieM
7D. BrooksM
37RayanM
16M. TavernierM
9EvanilsonF
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Chelsea vs Bournemouth?
Chelsea won 5–1.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Chelsea was the favourite at 53% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Chelsea 53%, draw 24%, Bournemouth 23%).
