Chelsea
52%
Draw
25%
Brighton
24%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Chelsea
4 — 3
Chelsea wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Chelsea.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 52% | ✓ Favourite won Won | |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Chelsea | Chelsea | 53% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds
| Platform | 1Chelsea | XDraw | 2Brighton |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.92 | 4.08 | 4.25 | |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.90 | 4.15 | 4.29 |
Sportsbook Odds4 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Chelsea | XDraw | 2Brighton |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.18 | 3.90 | 3.33 | |
| 1.77 | 1.77 | 2.98 | |
| 2.15 | 3.65 | 3.20 | |
| 2.15 | 3.65 | 3.20 | |
| Fair odds (average of 4, margin removed) | 2.32 | 3.45 | 3.57 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Chelsea vs Brighton?
Chelsea won 4–3.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Chelsea was the favourite at 52% on Kalshi (closing prices: Chelsea 52%, draw 25%, Brighton 24%).