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Chelsea vs Manchester United

Saturday, October 31, 2026

Chelsea

42%

Draw

26%

Manchester United

32%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Chelsea

2 — 0

Manchester United

Chelsea wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Chelsea.

Source	Favourite	Result %Chance given to the result	Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Chelsea	Chelsea	42%	✓ Favourite won Won
KalshiFavourite: Chelsea	Chelsea	43%	✓ Favourite won Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Chelsea	Chelsea	43%	✓ Favourite won Won

Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price

Platform	1Chelsea	XDraw	2Manchester United
Polymarket	2.36	3.79	3.19
Kalshi	2.35	3.88	3.16
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)	2.35	3.79	3.22

Sportsbook Odds24 books

= best

Bookmaker	1Chelsea	XDraw	2Manchester United
Pinnacle	2.33	3.68	3.09
Betfair	2.32	3.75	3.20
1xBet	2.33	3.72	3.15
Coolbet	2.27	3.75	3.18
Matchbook	2.32	3.75	3.20
Unibet (NL)	2.28	3.70	3.25
William Hill	2.20	3.50	3.00
Marathon	2.29	3.66	3.10
BetOnline	2.28	3.66	3.10
MyBookie	2.25	3.60	2.97
888sport	2.20	3.50	3.00
BetAnySports	2.28	3.66	3.10
Betclic	2.15	3.53	2.93
Betsson	2.25	3.57	3.05
Codere	2.27	3.60	3.00
GTbets	2.19	3.60	3.07
LeoVegas	2.20	3.55	3.10
NordicBet	2.25	3.55	3.05
PMU	2.12	3.35	2.95
Tipico	2.20	3.50	3.10
Unibet (FR)	2.05	3.40	2.85
Unibet (SE)	2.25	3.65	3.20
Winamax (DE)	2.15	3.60	2.95
Winamax (FR)	2.10	3.50	2.85
Fair odds (average of 24, margin removed)	2.35	3.79	3.22