Como
40%
Draw
26%
Manchester United
34%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Como
4 — 1
Manchester UnitedComo wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Como.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Como | Como | 40% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: Como | Como | 40% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Como | Como | 39% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Como | XDraw | 2Manchester United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2.48 | 3.94 | 2.91 |
| Kalshi | 2.53 | 3.88 | 2.89 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 2.57 | 3.93 | 2.81 |
Sportsbook Odds22 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Como | XDraw | 2Manchester United |
|---|---|---|---|
 Betfair | 2.56 | 3.90 | 2.82 |
 1xBet | 2.50 | 3.92 | 2.77 |
 Matchbook | 2.56 | 3.85 | 2.82 |
 Pinnacle | 2.52 | 3.80 | 2.71 |
 William Hill | 2.40 | 3.60 | 2.62 |
 Marathon | 2.45 | 3.84 | 2.71 |
 BetOnline | 2.50 | 3.78 | 2.70 |
 888sport | 2.40 | 3.60 | 2.62 |
 BetAnySports | 2.49 | 3.83 | 2.66 |
 Betclic | 2.33 | 3.70 | 2.55 |
 Betsson | 2.45 | 3.65 | 2.68 |
 Codere | 2.47 | 3.75 | 2.65 |
 Coolbet | 2.52 | 3.85 | 2.74 |
 GTbets | 2.41 | 3.68 | 2.80 |
 LeoVegas | 2.40 | 3.65 | 2.65 |
 NordicBet | 2.48 | 3.70 | 2.72 |
PMU | 2.33 | 3.50 | 2.55 |
 Unibet (FR) | 2.30 | 3.70 | 2.55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.50 | 3.85 | 2.75 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.50 | 3.85 | 2.75 |
 Winamax (DE) | 2.40 | 3.80 | 2.55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35 | 3.70 | 2.50 |
| Fair odds (average of 22, margin removed) | 2.57 | 3.93 | 2.81 |
Como win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 1 meetings
ComoManchester United
Oct 21, 26
Como
3-0
Manchester UnitedLineups
Como4-2-3-1
Coach: Cesc Fàbregas
1J. ButezG
27Yan CoutoD
4Jacobo Ramón NaverosD
2M. KempfD
3Álex ValleD
5M. PerroneM
6Luis MillaM
7L. da CunhaM
10N. PazM
20M. BaturinaM
9T. DouvikasF
Manchester United4-2-3-1
Coach: M. Carrick
1S. LammensG
2Diogo DalotD
4M. de LigtD
5H. MaguireD
3N. MazraouiD
7M. MountM
17Andrey SantosM
19B. MbeumoM
18Y. TielemansM
10Matheus CunhaM
8Bruno FernandesF
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Como vs Manchester United?
Como won 4–1.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Como was the favourite at 40% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Como 40%, draw 26%, Manchester United 34%).
