Coventry City
26%
Draw
27%
Newcastle
48%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Coventry City
4 — 1
NewcastleCoventry City wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Coventry City.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Newcastle | Newcastle | 26% | ✗ Upset |
 KalshiFavourite: Newcastle | Newcastle | 26% | ✗ Upset |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Newcastle | Newcastle | 27% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Coventry City | XDraw | 2Newcastle |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 3.90 | 3.76 | 2.09 |
| Kalshi | 3.89 | 3.74 | 2.10 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 3.73 | 3.83 | 2.13 |
Coventry City win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Coventry City vs Newcastle?
Coventry City won 4–1.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Newcastle was the favourite at 48% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Coventry City 26%, draw 27%, Newcastle 48%).
