Crystal Palace
19%
Draw
23%
Manchester City
58%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Crystal Palace
1 — 4
Manchester CityManchester City wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Manchester City.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiFavourite: Manchester City | Manchester City | 58% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Manchester City | Manchester City | 58% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds
| Platform | 1Crystal Palace | XDraw | 2Manchester City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 5.32 | 4.39 | 1.71 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 5.37 | 4.35 | 1.71 |
Sportsbook Odds21 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Crystal Palace | XDraw | 2Manchester City |
|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 5.64 | 4.47 | 1.63 |
 Unibet (NL) | 5.75 | 4.40 | 1.61 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.75 | 4.40 | 1.61 |
 Pinnacle | 5.34 | 4.34 | 1.57 |
 Betfair | 5.20 | 4.20 | 1.61 |
 William Hill | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.60 |
 Marathon | 5.55 | 4.40 | 1.60 |
 MyBookie | 5.20 | 4.10 | 1.56 |
 888sport | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.57 |
 Betclic | 5.25 | 4.05 | 1.53 |
 Betsson | 5.70 | 4.15 | 1.58 |
 Everygame | 5.00 | 4.10 | 1.53 |
 GTbets | 5.49 | 4.22 | 1.61 |
 LeoVegas | 5.40 | 4.25 | 1.56 |
 Matchbook | 5.20 | 4.20 | 1.60 |
 NordicBet | 5.70 | 4.15 | 1.58 |
PMU | 5.30 | 4.10 | 1.56 |
 Tipico | 5.50 | 4.30 | 1.55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.20 | 4.10 | 1.54 |
 Winamax (DE) | 4.90 | 4.20 | 1.54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.60 | 3.90 | 1.50 |
| Fair odds (average of 21, margin removed) | 5.64 | 4.45 | 1.67 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Crystal Palace vs Manchester City?
Manchester City won 4–1.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Manchester City was the favourite at 58% on Kalshi (closing prices: Crystal Palace 19%, draw 23%, Manchester City 58%).
